February 19th - 21st Weekend Predictions

After a record-breaking President's Day weekend, Shutter Island is the sole release. Shutter Island is an interesting one to watch, as we get so few high-profile horror blockbusters starring big actors (What Lies Beneath, Signs). Leonardo DiCaprio and director Martin Scorsese won't fail with its excellent creepy marketing, which I see leading Shutter Island to an opening over $35 million to a total over $120 million.

Sadly, our big holdovers will get destroyed after an inflated previous weekend. Valentine's Day will most likely drop in the high 60%'s after an incredible Sunday gross last weekend, while The Wolfman will break the 70% drop with an inflated Sunday and direct competition with Shutter Island.

Even Avatar looks to have its biggest drop of its run yet (though still micro-small compared to other blockbusters)! Avatar is still going to be grossing over $15 million for its 10th weekend, just insane! $750 million is happening.

My Predictions:
1. Shutter Island - $38 million (NEW)
2. Valentine's Day - $17.8 million (-68%)
3. Avatar - $15.9 million (-33%)
4. Percy Jackson & the Olympians - $14.2 million (-55%)
5. The Wolfman - $9.2 million (-71%)
6. Dear John - $7.5 million (-53%)
7. Tooth Fairy - $4.6 million (-24%)
8. Crazy Heart - $2.9 million (-32%)
9. From Paris With Love - $2.2 million (-60%)
10. Edge of Darkness - $2 million (-59%)