November 13th - 15th Weekend Predictions

Final Predictions:

1. 2012 - $ 77.0 million (NEW)
2. A Christmas Carol - $ 19.8 million (-34.1%)
3. Michael Jackson's This Is It - $ 7.0 million (-46.8%)
4. The Men Who Stare at Goats - $ 6.1 million (-52.0%)
5. The Fourth Kind - $ 6.0 million (-50.9%)
6. Paranormal Activity - $ 4.6 million (-44.4%)
7. Precious- $ 4.3 million (+129.7%)
8. Couples Retreat - $ 3.8 million (-38.0%)
9. Law Abiding Citizen - $ 3.4 million (-43.4%)
10. The Box - $ 3.4 million (-55.1%)
11. Pirate Radio - $ 1.8 million (NEW)

2012 is headed for some big numbers this weekend. We actually are going to have a very big next three weekends, starting with 2012, New Moon next weekend, and then Thanksgiving weekend following. 2012's marketing campaign has been vast and has definitely made the movie look like the most epic of all disaster movies and an eerie possibility for the future. I don't see any less than a $70 million opening weekend.

Not as confident on the holdovers. Veteran's Day has thrown off some of the regular daily patterns which makes weekend predictions a little simpler. Still, The Box should have one of the biggest dropoffs.

Pirate Radio is bound to sink in my opinion. No buzz or interest. The similarly-themed Taking Woodstock had at least some Oscar-potential at the time and far less competion. I don't see Pirate Radio making much more than $2 million this weekend.

Last weekend's HUGE surprise, Precious, expands into 126 theaters this weekend and will make a minimum of $4 million. It had one of the highest per theater averages ever last weekend in only 16 theaters, nearly breaking into the top ten!